The Free Agent Win Shares Chart

Here’s a quick Win Shares look at how each team could potentially be affected by free agency. I basically added up all the Win Shares of each player who isn’t on his team’s roster at this time, and compared that to the team’s total Win Shares. Players not on the roster include those who filed for free agency, as well as those who were traded in season.

Remember, this is not a prediction, but a measure of the relative impact free agency might have on each team, based on last year’s contributions. “FAWS” stands for Free Agent Win Shares. In my notes, I may reference WSAR as a way of measuring the true impact of these losses. WSAR stands for Win Shares Above Average.

Team	Total	FAWS	Percent	Comments
LAD	279	118	42.3%	Beltre, Perez, Lima, and the trade of Lo Duca and Mota. Will be partially offset by having Choi and Penny for full year.
CHC	267	95	35.7%	Alou, Clement, Grudz and Walker. Rusch has already re-upped. Middle of the lineup concerns
COL	204	72	35.2%	Burnitz, Castilla, Reed; all contributed but all should be replaced for long term.
FLO	249	80	32.1%	Benitez and Pavano, plus loss of Choi and Penny through trade.
HOU	276	84	30.6%	Beltran, Kent and Clements big losses; would be nice to get two of three back.
ATL	288	85	29.6%	Drew, Alfonseca and Wright. Can Atlanta recover from a big talent loss again?
BOS	294	80	27.1%	Mostly Pedro and Varitek. Not as bad a loss as I would have imagined.
STL	315	83	26.4%	Womack, Renteria, Kline, Mabry. Womack wouldn’t repeat anyway; Renteria only 3.7 WSAR.
KC	174	42	24.3%	Reflects Beltran trade. Most FA losses actually had negative WSAR’s.
MIN	276	66	23.8%	Radke, Koskie and Guzman losses hurt. Replacing Radke is key.
TOR	201	42	20.7%	Mostly loss of Delgado and Zaun.
NYY	303	62	20.5%	El Duque, Cairo, Sierra, Lieber, Clark, Olerud. Rotation upgrade required.
SEA	189	36	19.1%	Not really a free agent loss, this reflects trade of Freddy Garcia.
NYM	213	41	19.0%	Leiter and Bottalico. Leiter may re-up.
PHI	258	49	18.9%	Polanco and Cormier; two very good ballplayers.
TBD	210	36	17.1%	Tino Martinez. Zambrano traded; Kazmir could match his Win Shares in first year.
OAK	273	45	16.6%	Damian Miller and Chris Hammond. Without a catcher, lots of passed balls.
ARI	153	25	16.3%	Wanted. Baseball Players. Apply within.
CHW	249	35	14.2%	Valentin and Ordonez, whose loss is offset by half-year on DL.
CIN	228	29	12.7%	Larkin and Paul Wilson only positive WSAR contributors, barely.
CLE	239	26	10.9%	Vizquel.
TEX	268	28	10.5%	Deluccia and Young only positive WSAR contributors
MON	201	21	10.3%	Cabrera actually had negative WSAR while with Expos.
ANA	276	24	8.7%	Glaus and Percival; both had limited contributions in 2004 due to injuries.
SDP	258	18	6.9%	David Wells.
BAL	234	13	5.6%	B.J. Surhoff
MIL	201	11	5.6%	Addition by subtraction.
DET	216	11	4.9%	Yan’s 7/17 saves in save opportunities kept his Win Shares down. Only player of note.
PIT	216	9	4.2%	Traded Benson
SFG	273	8	2.8%	No one of consequence
Total	7281	1373	18.9%