THT Forecasts – 2012 Oliver projected-WAR starting lineup
Using the 2012 Oliver database, here is the top-projected-WAR starting lineup:
Pos Player 2012 Projected WAR P Yu Darvish 7.0 (Wow!) C Joe Mauer 3.5 1B Albert Pujols 5.5 2B Robinson Cano 4.5 3B Evan Longoria 4.6 SS Troy Tulowitzki 5.6 LF Ryan Braun* 4.6 CF Matt Kemp 4.9 RFl Jose Bautista 3.9 ----- 44.1
* – If Braun indeed suspended for 50 games, will then substitute in Matt Holiday, 4.2 projected WAR.
Think you could construct a lineup with other players that will out-WAR the above lineup in 2012? Perhaps worth an investigation after the season!
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Who is the substitute for Yu Darvish? A 7.0 WAR projection seems like a problem with translating stats from Japan.
Darvish’s substitute would be Justin Verlander, 6.7 WAR.
I’ll take a stab at this – with no repeats to boot
Roy Halladay
Miguel Cabrera
Ian Kinsler
Pablo Sandoval
Jose Reyes
Matt Holliday
Jacoby Ellsbury
Mike Stanton
I’d really prefer to use Tulo to Reyes, but I did say no repeats…I’m also tempted to use Granderson over Ellsbury.
It’s worth mentioning that Oliver has it’s own calculation of WAR that differs subtly from fWAR and bWar.
I noticed that Oliver projections have no players with negative Fielding Runs. Is this skewing the WAR figures?
Brad – catcher?
Ha, good catch. I was debating the merits of Santana vs Napoli. A debate I will continue to have until well into the season. Let’s say Santana.
Yeah, I’d take that Darvish projection with a huge grain of salt. I have a hard time accepting that for a player who has yet to throw a pitch in this country, no matter how good he was in Japan.
Greg who would the DH be?
DH would be Adrian Gonzalez, 5.2 WAR.
Also, I overlooked Mike Stanton, since for some weird reason he is classified as “OF” instead of “RF”. He also has a 5.2-WAR projection and should be in the starting lineup instead of Bautista.
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