Staff rankings: Top 1-100
The following writers have ranked their top 200: Josh Shepardson, Ben Pritchett, Brad Johnson, and yours truly.
We used FantasyPros.com to create our composite rankings, and if you follow the link provided in our rankings, you can see how ours compared with a slew of other experts’. I speak for at least Josh Shepardson and me when I say that we will continue to update our rankings on FantasyPros and Twitter, perhaps, throughout spring training and the coming month (and change).
Keep on the lookout for updates, and, as always, assume a 12-team, mixed league with standard 5×5 settings. Click on the links with our names to get to our Twitter accounts, where we’ll happily answer your baseball and fantasy questions year-round. Our apologies for having to split up the top 200 into two articles.
2012 Overall Rankings | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player Name | Nick Fleder |
Ben Prichett |
Josh Shepardson |
Brad Johnson |
THT Composite |
FantasyPros Expert Consensus |
Miguel Cabrera | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | view |
Albert Pujols | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | view |
Jose Bautista | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | view |
Matt Kemp | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | view |
Joey Votto | 7 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | view |
Troy Tulowitzki | 9 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | view |
Jacoby Ellsbury | 6 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 7 | view |
Evan Longoria | 14 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 8 | view |
Robinson Cano | 8 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 9 | view |
Justin Upton | 10 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 10 | view |
Adrian Gonzalez | 15 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 11 | view |
Prince Fielder | 13 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 12 | view |
Carlos Gonzalez | 11 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 13 | view |
Dustin Pedroia | 18 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 14 | view |
Ian Kinsler | 12 | 19 | 15 | 19 | 15 | view |
Curtis Granderson | 21 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | view |
Clayton Kershaw | 17 | 15 | 22 | 22 | 17 | view |
Mike Stanton | 16 | 24 | 23 | 14 | 18 | view |
Roy Halladay | 19 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 19 | view |
Hanley Ramirez | 24 | 20 | 14 | 20 | 20 | view |
Justin Verlander | 20 | 12 | 38 | 23 | 21 | view |
Mark Teixeira | 26 | 22 | 20 | 26 | 22 | view |
Cliff Lee | 22 | 21 | 25 | 27 | 23 | view |
Andrew McCutchen | 23 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 24 | view |
Ryan Braun | 5 | 45 | 45 | 6 | 25 | view |
Adrian Beltre | 29 | 28 | 18 | 29 | 26 | view |
Jose Reyes | 45 | 25 | 19 | 18 | 27 | view |
Tim Lincecum | 27 | 27 | 26 | 40 | 28 | view |
David Wright | 30 | 26 | 33 | 38 | 29 | view |
Mike Napoli | 34 | 37 | 30 | 35 | 30 | view |
CC Sabathia | 37 | 31 | 37 | 34 | 31 | view |
Josh Hamilton | 46 | 39 | 31 | 24 | 32 | view |
Felix Hernandez | 28 | 29 | 39 | 44 | 33 | view |
Ryan Zimmerman | 41 | 41 | 32 | 28 | 34 | view |
Matt Holliday | 38 | 44 | 35 | 30 | 35 | view |
Cole Hamels | 31 | 35 | 46 | 36 | 36 | view |
Brett Lawrie | 35 | 48 | 27 | 46 | 37 | view |
Nelson Cruz | 32 | 38 | 44 | 43 | 38 | view |
Carlos Santana | 40 | 49 | 29 | 45 | 39 | view |
Desmond Jennings | 33 | 65 | 28 | 41 | 40 | view |
Hunter Pence | 39 | 33 | 68 | 31 | 41 | view |
Jered Weaver | 25 | 32 | 55 | 60 | 42 | view |
Starlin Castro | 44 | 52 | 40 | 39 | 43 | view |
Pablo Sandoval | 49 | 61 | 34 | 32 | 44 | view |
Dan Uggla | 60 | 30 | 42 | 56 | 45 | view |
Zack Greinke | 58 | 46 | 36 | 49 | 46 | view |
Paul Konerko | 54 | 36 | 58 | 42 | 47 | view |
Eric Hosmer | 48 | 34 | 53 | 58 | 48 | view |
David Price | 50 | 42 | 51 | 53 | 49 | view |
Ben Zobrist | 51 | 57 | 41 | 48 | 50 | view |
Jay Bruce | 68 | 40 | 43 | 51 | 51 | view |
Brandon Phillips | 55 | 58 | 64 | 33 | 52 | view |
Alex Rodriguez | 59 | 59 | 57 | 37 | 53 | view |
Dan Haren | 36 | 43 | 79 | 63 | 54 | view |
Jon Lester | 64 | 47 | 56 | 61 | 55 | view |
Brian McCann | 56 | 55 | 66 | 54 | 56 | view |
Michael Young | 52 | 51 | 84 | 50 | 57 | view |
Madison Bumgarner | 53 | 78 | 47 | 62 | 58 | view |
Stephen Strasburg | 47 | 74 | 52 | 68 | 59 | view |
Kevin Youkilis | 72 | 60 | 60 | 52 | 60 | view |
Asdrubal Cabrera | 43 | 66 | 62 | 74 | 61 | view |
Elvis Andrus | 61 | 53 | 82 | 55 | 62 | view |
Michael Morse | 69 | 56 | 70 | 59 | 63 | view |
Rickie Weeks | 70 | 62 | 65 | 57 | 64 | view |
Matt Cain | 42 | 50 | 100 | 65 | 65 | view |
Shane Victorino | 57 | 68 | 74 | 64 | 66 | view |
Alex Gordon | 75 | 63 | 50 | 76 | 67 | view |
B.J. Upton | 62 | 76 | 49 | 79 | 68 | view |
Yovani Gallardo | 87 | 73 | 48 | 78 | 69 | view |
Michael Bourn | 66 | 54 | 91 | 75 | 70 | view |
Lance Berkman | 74 | 79 | 69 | 70 | 71 | view |
Craig Kimbrel | 65 | 87 | 61 | 82 | 72 | view |
Matt Moore | 73 | 83 | 77 | 67 | 73 | view |
Jimmy Rollins | 79 | 70 | 63 | 93 | 74 | view |
Adam Wainwright | 77 | 71 | 95 | 71 | 75 | view |
James Shields | 85 | 80 | 88 | 66 | 76 | view |
Matt Wieters | 88 | 94 | 54 | 84 | 77 | view |
Buster Posey | 95 | 69 | 71 | 86 | 78 | view |
Ian Kennedy | 67 | 89 | 99 | 72 | 79 | view |
Yu Darvish | 80 | 86 | 104 | 69 | 80 | view |
Corey Hart | 81 | 77 | 73 | 112 | 81 | view |
Jason Heyward | 76 | 92 | 89 | 90 | 82 | view |
Joe Mauer | 91 | 64 | 107 | 88 | 83 | view |
C.J. Wilson | 78 | 85 | 94 | 97 | 84 | view |
Adam Jones | 63 | 81 | 113 | 98 | 85 | view |
Carl Crawford | 86 | 93 | 85 | 94 | 86 | view |
Aramis Ramirez | 71 | 91 | 59 | 143 | 87 | view |
Howard Kendrick | 94 | 75 | 124 | 73 | 88 | view |
Shin-Soo Choo | 83 | 121 | 75 | 89 | 89 | view |
Jason Kipnis | 98 | 101 | 86 | 83 | 90 | view |
Chase Utley | 140 | 67 | 115 | 47 | 91 | view |
John Axford | 84 | 100 | 78 | 118 | 92 | view |
Jesus Montero | 101 | 112 | 72 | 96 | 93 | view |
Josh Johnson | 117 | 82 | 102 | 80 | 94 | view |
Jonathan Papelbon | 92 | 113 | 76 | 106 | 95 | view |
Michael Pineda | 97 | 98 | 87 | 105 | 96 | view |
Mat Latos | 104 | 103 | 80 | 103 | 97 | view |
Drew Stubbs | 99 | 99 | 67 | 126 | 98 | view |
Brett Gardner | 90 | 88 | 126 | 99 | 99 | view |
Mariano Rivera | 89 | 110 | 96 | 109 | 100 | view |
Fantasy Baseball Rankings powered by FantasyPros, the leading aggregator of expert fantasy advice.
What do you mean?
Numbers next to the rankings would be REALLY helpful.
Constraints.
I took these top 100 rankings and figured the average absolute difference for each person as compared to the THT Composite.
Nick Fleder’s picks were closest to the THT Composite pick, off by an absolute average of 6.6.
Ben Prichett-7.2
Brad Johnson—7.7
Josh Shepardson—9.8
Josh, therefore, has the most unique rankings.
Notable players:
Chase Utley was ranked as high as 47 and as low as 140. He had the biggest difference among all players in his spot in the rankings. I guess this would make him the biggest question mark, with rankings of 47, 67, 115, and 140. He’s all over the place. In a 12-team league, he could be considered as early as late 4th round (47th pick) or as late as the middle of the 12th round (140th pick).
Aramis Ramirez was next on this list, with rankings as high as 59 (late 5th round in a 12-team league) to as low as 143 (late 12th round).
Drew Stubbs was an interesting one. His THT Composite is 98 (early 9th round). Nick and Ben both have him ranked 99th. Josh has him at 67 (6th round), Brad has him at 126 (11th round).
Interesting stuff.
For fantasy purposes, Dusty Baker scares me a lot. I still feel like Baker would shift Stubbs into a 450-500 PA role if he found someone he was comfortable putting in center. And with Baker, that seemingly could be any ol’ veteran that wanders onto the roster. Yea, feelings, booooo.
I wonder how our composite rankings compare to FantasyPros ECR. On the one hand, we worked with a biased name list and probably ended up with some anchoring effects (the list was roughly in value order and we drag/drop in the order we want). On the other hand, I suspect that we have our own little group think cluster over here at THT that is distinct from the general “expert” population.
Oh, and ignore my Utley pick. Call it my one homer pick (actually, I think I picked Hamels over Lincecum…two homer picks).
To your point BobbyRoberto, I was planning an article about the usefulness of standard deviation in rankings from several sources. I actually think that it may be more useful for in-draft purposes than the rankings themselves.., great research BobbyR by the way…
NoPepperGames:
Here’s kind of the best we can do for you in terms of providing numbers with the names. http://www.fantasypros.com/mlb/projections/1b.php
You can tab around to each position. Solid tool although I foolishly like to keep my projections in my head.
Note: I didn’t get a chance to adjust my rating on the heels of the Ryan Braun news. Adjust him to number 4 overall and number 2 OF. He’d be number one in both for me but baseball is a mental game too and I just don’t see how this doesn’t way on him especially in the early goings.
No thoughts: Big boards confuse more than they enlighten. At least for me.
Our picks on Utley are interesting. I had Braun in the 20’s even when I was expecting him to miss 35 games.
“*weigh on him”, I’m correcting my post above. IPhone commenting doesn’t always work out the way we want it too.
I think it’s interesting that I rank completely differently than everybody else. It almost makes me question if I’ve got it together as much as I think I do.
Shane,
As I recall from last year, we already drafted the same. I think we took each other’s next pick every round. So I doubt making my rankings public will change that dynamic.
…We’ll take that as a compliment, Shane.
But, here’s the question, how fun was it *really* to “dominate every league you were in?” Is it fun to play pick-up basketball with sixth-graders too?
I understand those who like to put in their own work as opposed to getting stuff for free, but frankly that’s the direction in which all of society is moving. Knowing information isn’t necessarily as important as knowing how to access information that you can be confident is high-quality and current. One on hand, it’s lamentable, though there’s a fair bit of romanticism anchored to that feeling. On the other hand, it’s about increasing the overall efficiency of the information ecosystem.
…And, what information did you – or do we, for that matter, actually create yourself either? You’re not breaking relevant news, nor are you the man behind the invention of BABIP, so you’re just using information asymmetry to your advantage too, mainly because you had access to info that previously wasn’t as accessible.
So, continuing to take your comment very seriously, I’d suggest you consider one of two directions. One, embrace enhanced competitiveness and see a stronger correlation between joy derived from achievement and level of difficulty of that achievement. Or, two, start to migrate your efforts where the majority of the fantasy gaming world is still behind the curve. In thinking daily fantasy gaming. Strategies and analysis focused on this form of fantasy gaming is much less evolved – or at least the highly evolved info is certainly less present in the public domain and mainstream outlets.
The little symbol :-J at the end of my post means tongue-in-cheek. I didn’t think anyone would know what that meant, cause I had to look it up myself. Yes, I was only kidding (well, half anyway)
.
If I’m going to be in a league, I would much prefer to have other managers that frequent the top baseball sites and know the advanced metrics. It leads to great conversations when trades are offered, drafts are done, etc.
I love the Hardball times (and other sites) and I actually like the competitiveness of leagues much more, although 2nd place finishes every year to different people is getting a little annoying.
Shane,
I thought you might be kidding, but I have heard people make complaints like yours in earnest before, so I felt like it was worth “going on the record” in reply to that argument – whether you were being sincere or sarcastic.
I think all baseball sites should not be allowed to publish fantasy articles until after April 1 of each year. It’s things like this that have ruined fantasy baseball for me. In the old days, I dominated every league I was in. Now, any Joe Schmoe can come here or a few other sites, and get his drafting strategy with out putting in much effort.
:-J
Thanks. Like that tool.
Josh, you said on twitter that overall rankings are silly. You said it after looking at your rankings. OMG.
Verlander 38
Lawrie 27
Jennings 28
Haren 79
Pence 68
Cain 100
Wieters 54 lol
I’ll overlook your rankings, thanks.