A note to all subscribers: If you go to the leader boards in THT Forecasts, you can now download any leader board as a CSV file (or in XML if you so desire). So, for example, you can download all of the depth-chart adjusted projections for hitters, or just the depth-chart adjusted projections for the […]

Spring training is well under way, and many clubs in Arizona and Florida are showing off their shiny new free agent signings. Overall, 28 free agents (excluding Kansas City’s Noel Arguelles and Cincinnati’s Aroldis Chapman) received multi-year contracts over the winter. Which players project to be worth the dough, and which players might have their […]

Below is a long post detailing all the updates we’ve made to THT Forecasts today. Here is the short version, for those of you who don’t want so much detail: (1) We have added leader boards for all of our projections. So, for example, if you want to see which hitters project to lead the […]

As some of you may know, some of the Oliver projections for minor leaguers did not look too…realistic. Jesus Montero, for example, was projected to hit .314/.361/.542 this year, .351/.400/.676 by 2014. Now, Montero is absolutely one of the best prospects in baseball, but it’s probably too early to predict that he will be the […]

The hype regarding Stephen Strasburg continues to buzz after a solid, yet unspectacular debut in spring training yesterday. Strasburg threw two innings while fanning two and inducing four routine ground balls. Bryan Smith posted an article today on Fangraphs where he made a relatively conservative projection of a 3.95 FIP for Strasburg this season. Smith’s […]

Baseball lost an original on Tuesday. Former Dodger standout Willie Davis, who also played for the Expos, Rangers, Cardinals, Padres and Angels, was found dead at his Burbank home. He was 69. Some of Davis’ eccentricities were good. Some were unpleasant. Yet, he was always memorable. And he was a pretty good ballplayer who combined […]

While I continue to pour through mounds of Gameday data from Minor League games, I thought I’d stop and share some numbers. I haven’t found a “story” that’s compelling enough to write about yet. Nor have I finished running through the numbers. In a nutshell, I compared “year 1” and “year 2” performances for all […]

Over at Baseball Analysts, I tried to find what pitchers had the best fastballs, breaking balls, and off-speed pitches using using velocity, movement, and location as my parameters. I thought it might be interesting to look at individual pitches as well. By my methodology, the best pitches are well-located fastballs in hitter’s counts. Randy Wolf, […]

Since Joe Adler’s Baseball Hacks was published and people started scraping data from the MLB gameday site, the language of choice has been Perl. Before I got that book I had never used Perl before. I’m not a programmer by trade, and am most familiar with Visual Basic, which I use to do most of […]

Back in August, I wondered if the homer-happy tendencies of the new Yankee Stadium had an effect on how the Yankee hitters put balls in play. The theory was simple: even if stadiums do not actually play to their commonplace perception (i.e. maybe Yankee Stadium was actually a pitcher’s park), players will respond based on […]