Archive for October 2009
Season Age WAR tRA 2002 26 3.5 4.30 2003 27 2.4 5.18 2004 28 1.6 5.71 2005 29 0.5 6.18 2006 30 -0.3 6.97 2007 31 1.7 4.23 2008 32 2.0 4.76 2009 33 3.0 4.27 What happened here that created this inverted bell-curve (if our x-axis was time and our y-axis was WAR)? Keep […]
Just a reminder, it’s important. A significant amount of a pitcher’s value is tied to his ability to hit, which we have a pretty good idea how to measure. Yet for some reason we leave hitting production out of our pitcher valuations. So I’ll add StatCorner’s pitching runs above average, hitting runs above average using […]
Over at FanGraphs, Dave Cameron took a look at how well WAR and actual wins match up this year: For 2009, the correlation between a team’s projected record based on their WAR total and their actual record was .83. This is a robust number, especially considering that WAR is almost completely context independent and currently […]
This is the beginning of a regular feature you’ll see here on THT Live–it’s just too bad I couldn’t think of a catchier title to start off with. Feel free to leave your always witty suggestions in the comments. Well the season ended yesterday with a bang, as the Twins defeated the Tigers in an […]
On the heels of an unbelievable play-in game to determine who got to chase the World Series title, the Detroit Tigers are left wondering what they have to do next to make it back to the postseason. The Tigers were considered a vaunted team going into 2008, and we all know what happened. 2009 saw […]
The Brewers are facing a decision about their SS situation, with phenom Alcides Escobar seemingly ready to contribute at the MLB level, and J.J. Hardy coming off a season-long slump that even saw him get demoted to AAA Nashville. The situation presents many options; trading Hardy, keeping Escobar in Nashville another year, having a player […]
The Twins made it real interesting but they went ahead and “validated” my prediction anyway. (That is, of course, tongue-in-cheek – I don’t think anyone predicted a game quite like that.) Anyway, your Game One odds (win percentages listed are for the home team): Twins at Yankees – 0.673 The Twins used everything they had […]
Earlier this year, I wrote a column for THT titled: “The 10 greatest games in Metrodome history.” Looks like I spoke too soon. Clearly, today’s game belongs high on the list. Where? Well, it’s a judgement call of course. You have to weigh the quality of the game alongside its importance. Still, I don’t see […]
At the end of my article on Friday discussing the five contenders for the AL Cy Young Award, we ran a poll asking for your vote. With a good response – we had 775 votes – we can safely call this one a landslide: The huge margin for Zack Greinke meant I had to combine […]
From a recent BPro chat by Joe Sheehan: Nate McLouth is still a fourth OF masquerading as a starting CF. Is this really so? JC Bradbury doesn’t think so, and marshalls the evidence that says otherwise. He does a decent job and seems much more invested in the particular outcome than I do so I’ll […]