Archive for December 2009

A second look at scoring bias.

It’s all a matter of your point of view.

You, too, can be a sabermagician.

Fancy run estimators like linear weights explained in layman’s terms.

How well do we know what we think we know?

Pretty accurately, but not perfectly.

Looking at updating a projection in-season. Beware of math.

A closer look at how regression to the mean affects players at the extremes.

Regression to the mean: good for groups, but it can’t tell the future. A graphical analysis.

Does it help us predict future performance?