The Mets, needing a win more than ever, yielded seven runs to the Marlins in the top of the first inning. Tom Glavine just didn’t have it, and the Mets now find themselves in a huge hole, losing by seven runs before even coming to bat. Their Win Probability at this point is 6%. I’n […]

In the New York Times, Dan Rosenheck wrote about the Diamondbacks’ improbable outperformance of their Pythagorean projection. Such musing was also the subject of THT’s recent “Outsmarting Pythagoras.” One thing I didn’t make clear earlier this week was that not all Pythagorean variance can be brushed aside as non-repeatable “I-won’t-call-it-luck.” Rather, it makes up a […]

Those of you who stood with interest in the bleachers of AT&T Park (or is that at&t now?) in an attempt to catch Barry Bonds’ 756 may have noted the recent auction for said ball. The auction was won by fashion guru Marc Ecko in an intense bidding war that eventually concluded a little over […]

I’m watching the New York/Atlanta game on ESPN tonight. The ESPN crew is doing a pretty good job—I like Orel Hershiser’s commentary—but they just made a big gaffe that few people will have caught. With the Mets leading 3-1 in the top of the eighth, the Braves loaded the bases with two out. To my […]

John Beamer has posted a nice article about Andruw Jones today, including some insightful monthly trends. It will be interesting to see if Andruw does command a big contract this offseason. As a follow up, perhaps some of you would like to take a look at Jones’ batted ball profile. I described the batted ball […]

The Win Share totals have been updated through Sunday’s games, and there is now a clear leader in the National League: the Mets’ David Wright. Maybe it’s because I don’t live in New York, but I haven’t heard much talk of Wright winning the MVP. It’s time to start the chat: he’s leading the NL […]

I had to calculate fielding runs above average based on THT Zone Rating statistics for every player in the major leagues today for the THT Mailbag, so I thought I might as well share them. When looking at the ratings for Albert Pujols and David Wright, remember that these are just sample ratings and can […]

It’s not as catchy as the 40/40 club that he’s already a member of, but Alex Rodriguez has a chance to join some equally exclusive company again this season. With 43 homers and 18 stolen bases, ARod’s a decent bet to join the 50 homer, 20 stolen base club this season. Only three players are […]

If you’re going to use human eyes to evaluate defense, you can trust the word of a few scouts who only get a chance to watch a player a few times a year…or you can ask every single baseball fan on the planet. How can you do the latter? By participating in Tangotiger’s 2007 Fan […]

The Jays-Angels game on August 16 was decided in the top of the second inning. Gary Matthews Jr. hit a solo home run of Jays RHP Dustin McGowan making the score 1-0. How so? After all, the final score of the game was 4-3 as a Jays’ rally in the ninth fell short. It wasn’t […]