Archive for March 2008

They’re rebuilding, but the year’s not hopeless

Sal uses player projections to estimate a few players’ true talents.

Sal uses Marcel projections to evaluate a few players’ talent.

Simpler may be just fine when it comes to projecting performance

Projections in rear-view mirror may appear larger or smaller than reality.

Did the average third baseman hit more like Kevin Kouzmanoff or Wilson Betemit?

Is luck the residue of design when teams beat their Pythagorean records? Sal says no.

…or is it? Sal takes a look at which offenses were the most consistent, and which ones weren’t, with a little help from his friend Waloddi Weibull.

A cautionary tale: do not mess with ancient Greek philosophers/baseball fans.

Do pitchers or hitters control the length of plate appearances? The thrilling dénouement to Sal’s series on the length of plate appearances.