What’s the best run estimator?
I’m a couple of days late on this one, but Colin tested run estimators at Statistically Speaking last Friday. Instead of testing each estimator against the number of runs a team scored in a season, he compared run estimators to the number of runs a team scored in specific innings.
This is a great idea, because the differences you see in innings are more like the differences you see between batters (the differences between teams in a season tend to be much less extreme). Colin’s conclusion is no surprise: Base Runs is the best formula. This is an important post that should be getting a lot of attention.
Dave Studeman was called a "national treasure" by Rob Neyer. Seriously. Follow his sporadic tweets @dastudes.
The “Collegiate Blue” and “Core Black” versions have an upper solely comprised of their title colors, while the “Core Red” features a mix of red Primeknit, black three-stripe and bright orange laces.